世界秩序の崩壊開始。トランプ大統領のウクライナ対応とプーチンの賭け。安冨歩東京大学名誉教授。一月万冊

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The global order appears to be unraveling amidst escalating tensions following the breakdown of communications between U.S. President Donald Trump and Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky. Since this rupture, anxiety has gripped not only the United States but particularly Europe, where citizens are increasingly on edge about the ongoing conflict in Ukraine. Recent developments, such as proposed plans to revoke residency permits for around 240,000 Ukrainian refugees in the U.S., have sent shockwaves throughout the international community.

Trump’s administration has stirred controversy with its stance on humanitarian aid and immigration policies. As the Biden administration had previously permitted over 1.8 million immigrants to enter under humanitarian provisions, the potential revocation of these permits could result in massive deportations, raising questions about the U.S.’s commitment to supporting those fleeing war.

Meanwhile, Norway has announced plans to double its financial support for Ukraine and increase defense spending, citing the gravest security concerns in 80 years, a reflection of its historical experiences with Russian aggression. Norway’s robust economy, bolstered by its government pension fund, positions it uniquely to provide assistance amid rising energy prices due to sanctions on Russian gas.

The European alliance faces a critical juncture, as the prospect of Trump returning to power could disrupt the military support currently funneled to Ukraine, leaving European nations to reassess their own defense strategies. French President Emmanuel Macron’s discussions about expanding France’s nuclear capabilities in Europe represent a significant shift towards greater self-reliance among European nations.

With Ukraine caught in the crossfire, the failure to establish a stable peace may not only exacerbate the humanitarian crisis but also threaten the broader international order established post-World War II. The ongoing conflict raises profound implications for global security, and the actions taken—or not taken—by world leaders will determine the future landscape of international relations. As the situation evolves, the world watches closely, wondering what the next chapter will hold.

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