世界秩序の崩壊開始。トランプ大統領のウクライナ対応とプーチンの賭け。安冨歩東京大学名誉教授。一月万冊

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Tensions are escalating globally following the breakdown of talks between U.S. President Donald Trump and Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky. Since the collapse of these discussions, anxiety has gripped Europe, where many citizens are left sleepless over the implications of ongoing conflicts. In a shocking move, the U.S. is considering revoking the residency permits of approximately 240,000 Ukrainian refugees who fled the war, with potential deportations slated for April. This decision has raised concerns, as many view it as an unjust punishment for those escaping violence.

Meanwhile, the Biden administration had previously facilitated humanitarian entry for over 1.8 million migrants, including Ukrainians, alongside those from Cuba, Haiti, and Venezuela. Trump’s administration’s stance on the matter remains unclear, with conflicting opinions on the appropriateness of such actions.

In Norway, the government has announced a doubling of its financial support for Ukraine amid rising defense expenditures, citing the gravest security crisis in 80 years. Norway’s proximity to Russia and its historical experiences with invasion contribute to its heightened military vigilance.

The implications of these developments go beyond immediate humanitarian concerns; they potentially reshape the geopolitical landscape. Europe, heavily reliant on American military support, faces a dilemma as Trump’s withdrawal from active assistance looms. This shift may prompt European nations to bolster their own defense capabilities, including nuclear deterrents, as hinted by French President Emmanuel Macron’s discussions on expanding France’s nuclear umbrella over Europe.

As the situation unfolds, the potential for increased military tensions grows. The ongoing conflict in Ukraine serves as a critical flashpoint, raising questions about the future of international order and the ability of nations to maintain sovereignty without resorting to military force. The world watches closely, uncertain of how these developments will alter the global balance of power and the stability of Europe in particular.

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