In a politically charged atmosphere, Seiji Maehara, known as the “political crusher,” is making headlines as tensions rise within Japan’s ruling coalition, which includes the Japan Innovation Party (Ishin). Following the appointment of Osak Governor Hirofumi Yoshimura as the new leader of Ishin, the party faces a potential split, with internal conflicts becoming increasingly apparent.

Despite past successes, Ishin’s popularity has waned, dropping to fourth place in public support according to a recent NHK survey. This decline has prompted concerns among party members about their future, especially as Maehara, now a co-representative of Ishin, appears to be taking a commanding role in the party’s direction.

The backdrop of these developments is the upcoming Osaka Kansai Expo, which has become a financial liability for the party. With ticket sales failing to meet expectations—only 800,000 of the 1.4 million tickets sold—the prospect of a substantial deficit looms, raising questions about who will bear the financial burden should the event fail to generate sufficient revenue.

Amidst these challenges, Maehara’s influence is growing. His push for cooperation with the ruling Liberal Democratic Party, particularly in budget negotiations, has sparked discord among Ishin’s ranks. Some party members fear that Maehara’s ambitions may lead to a shift towards becoming a junior partner in the coalition, particularly as he has established a close relationship with Prime Minister Kishida, who shares Maehara’s passion for railways.

As tensions mount, Yoshimura’s position as party leader is being tested. While he has voiced opposition to aligning more closely with the ruling coalition, the financial pressures surrounding the Osaka Expo may force Ishin to reconsider its stance. With Maehara’s rising clout, the dynamics within Ishin could shift dramatically in the coming months, as the party grapples with internal divisions and external pressures. The political landscape remains fluid, and the implications of these developments could significantly impact the future of Ishin and its leadership.